Next Big Future
Coverage of Disruptive Science and Technology
Updated: 16 min 22 sec ago
Iran Cannot Build a Nuclear Bomb Under These Conditions
Iran is extremely unlikely to produce functional nuclear bombs in the current environment—and certainly not quickly. The disruptions from Israeli and U.S. operations (including the ongoing strikes), combined with long-standing Mossad targeting of personnel. Advanced Israeli intelligence capabilities like hacked surveillance, have degraded or eliminated the secure, large-scale infrastructure and expertise required. Building even crude ...
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Tesla Making Lower Cost Batteries and Cars Late in 2026 and in 2027
The current analysis is that Tesla is still making a much cheaper model Y and model 3. Projected pricing for E41 (cheaper Model Y) and D50 (cheaper Model 3) assumes the reported 20% production-cost reduction vs. current refreshed/base models, with Tesla maintaining the same gross-margin percentage. Is dry-electrode 4680 (higher density) achieve these costs, or ...
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10 Million Monthly Active Starlink Mobile Customers and Billion in 2028-2028
Starlink mobile has 10 million monthly active customers for direct to cellphone 4G capability. This is with 650 V2 mini satellites. They support text, voice, basic data and basic video calls. SpaceX will launch V3 satellites that are three times bigger and 100 times the capacity. This will enable 5G capability at 150 mbps in ...
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Everyone Spies on Everyone for Mutual Assured Espionage
Israel (via Unit 8200/Mossad cyber ops) spent years hacking into Tehran’s public traffic cameras and related feeds specifically to track the daily movements and bodyguards of Iranian leaders, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. This intel directly fed into recent assassination/strike planning. They found the useful traffic cameras and used those to track Khamenei, IRGC and ...
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On Path to Supersonic Hermeus in 2026 and Mach 5 by 2030
Hermeus successfully flew its latest Quarterhorse aircraft, marking the company’s second first flight in less than a year. The flight kicks off a test campaign that will see the unmanned aircraft reach supersonic speeds. Roughly the size of an F-16 and powered by a Pratt & Whitney F100 engine (Pratt & Whitney is an RTX ...
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Grokipedia Has 1050 to 1450 Entries With Citations to Nextbigfuture
As of February 2026, NextBigFuture.com is one of the most heavily cited external sources on Grokipedia, with approximately 1,050–1,450 distinct Grokipedia pages containing direct links to NextBigFuture articles. This is roughly 10–13 times more than on English Wikipedia, which has ~110 citations. This high citation volume is concentrated in topics where NextBigFuture has provided long-term, ...
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NASA Declared the Butch and Suni Starliner Mission a $200+ Million Type A Mishap
NASA escalated the botched Starliner to a Type A mishap — and publicly blamed both Boeing and itself. The Boeing Starliner had over $200 million of property damage. Type A is NASA’s highest-severity label — it signals not just a technical problem but something that demands systemic change. A NASA “Type A” mishap is the ...
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Anthropic Could Pass OpenAI in Revenue Runrate within 5 Months
OpenAI may be a household name, but Anthropic could soon be earning more revenue. Anthropic has recently grown substantially faster (10× vs 3.4× per year) and could overtake OpenAI by mid-2026 if recent trends continue. Extrapolating recent trends is an aggressive way to forecast revenues. Growth rates this high often slow as companies scale, and ...
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SLS Second Wet Rehearsal Going Well
✅ Progressing well — no major hydrogen leaks reported this time. ✅ Rocket is now in its final fueling configuration (“replenish mode”) on all stages (core stage + Interim Cryogenic Propulsion Stage). ✅ Brief ground communications glitch earlier this morning (around 11 a.m.) was quickly resolved by switching to backup systems. ✅ Teams have completed ...
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Making Clavius MoonBase for Real
SpaceX will make a large moonbase by 2036 as part of the industrialization needed for scaling AI data centers in space. SpaceX will need to make mining and factories on the moon in order to increase space based AI satellites from 100-1000 Gigawatts per year to 10 to 1000 terawatts per year. 10 Terawatts would ...
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2001 Technology Predictions Like Seatback TVs on Planes and We Will Soon Have Moon Bases
The 1968 science fiction film 2001: A Space Odyssey featured numerous fictional future technologies and many of them are or will still happen. Over fifty organizations contributed technical advice to the production, and a number of them submitted their ideas to Kubrick of what kind of products might be seen in a movie set in ...
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The First Tesla Sub-$30,000 Cybercab Will be Sold to Marques Brownlee
Marques Brownlee will likely be sold the first commercial Tesla Cybercab that will be used outside of Tesla. Most Tesla Cybercabs will be built and used internally for the Tesla robotaxi fleet. Marques made a bet that a Cybercab would not be made and sold for less than $30,000 before 2027 and delivered to a ...
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AI Under Control: Link11 Launches AI Management Dashboard for Clean Traffic
Frankfurt am Main, Germany, 19th February 2026, CyberNewswire
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ELON Secret Weapon GROK 4.20 Make 4 Million Tesla Cars into 100 Million Digital Workers
I reveal • How Grok 4.20’s 4-agent system (Captain Grok + Harper + Benjamin + Lucas) works with shared weights for massive efficiency • The bombshell “MacroHard” project: digital humans that watch your screen, move your mouse, and automate repetitive white-collar work using Tesla Hardware 4 chips in parked cars • Why this could create ...
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XAI Grok 4.20 is a Big Improvement Practical coding, Simulations and Real World Agentic Tasks
Elon Musk confirmed to me, Brian Wang, that the current beta model is the ~500B parameter base model. Overall early consensus from testers, it beats or matches frontier models (GPT-5, Claude 4/Opus 4.5, Gemini 3) in practical coding, simulations, iterative work, and real-world agentic tasks. XAI Grok 4.20 will scale to 16 agents in Heavy ...
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XAI Grok 4.20 Makes Scheduling Repeated Monitoring Easy for Up to 200 Queries
How Many Scheduled Reminders & Queries Can xAI Grok 4.20 Handle Per User? Current practical limit is 150–200 active trackers comfortably, with no degradation in quality. It can simultaneously track dozens of companies, technologies, events, launches, earnings, regulatory filings, production numbers, funding rounds, etc. Real-world usage, it routinely manages 80–120 active items for power users ...
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SpaceX Shifts to Rapid Moon Development Instead of Mars for More Scaling of AI in Space
SpaceX has already shifted focus to building a self-growing city on the Moon, as we can potentially achieve that in less than 10 years, whereas Mars would take 20+ years. Elon Musk is talking about building a city on the Moon at a faster pace. The real reason is to make hundreds of trillions from ...
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SpaceX Falcon 9 True Cost to Launch is About $300 per Pound Which is 25% of Selling Price to Customers
There are many sources like Our World in Data describe the cost to launch with SpaceX Falcon 9 as $2600 per kilogram or $1200 per pound but the cost to SpaceX is $629 per kilogram or $285 per pound. The ~$67–70 million external selling price is for about 30 out of the 170 missions in ...
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Development of the Next Generation Fighter F47 Gets $4.4 Billion
There is accelerated funding for the F-47 (aka Next Generation Air Dominance or the NGAD). The F-47 is the first sixth-generation air superiority fighter, developed by Boeing under the NGAD program to replace the aging F-22 Raptor fleet. It has superior stealth to the F22 and F35. It have speeds exceeding Mach 2 and a ...
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BYD Half as Many Cars Sold in January from December With Tough Competition from Geely
BYD NEVs include both passenger and commercial vehicles recorded January sales of 205,518 units, down 30.67% year-on-year and down 50.45% month-on-month. BYD’s January sales of passenger battery electric vehicles (BEVs) totaled 83,249 units, down 33.60% year-on-year and down 56.35% from December. BYD’s power battery and energy storage battery installations in January totaled about 20.187 GWh, ...
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